Week 11 · Preview

Bears vs. Saints: Week 11 preview

NOSaints3-5

CHIBears7-2

Sun, Nov 22 · 12:00 p.m. CT · Fox · Soldier Field

Line CHI -9.5, total 48.5

20.8%79%

ESPN win chance · NO left, CHI right

Forecast48°F, gusts 17 mph (ESPN/AccuWeather)

Key storylines

The Bears (7-2) host the Saints (3-5) in Week 11.

Form check: the Bears are on a 4-game winning streak and sit first in the NFC North. The Saints are on a 1-game winning streak and are 2nd in the NFC South.

Chicago acquired All-Pro defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons from Tennessee on Oct 29, sending 2027 and 2028 first-round picks and a 2027 fourth-round pick, and getting a 2028 fifth back.

Matchups that decide it

Scoring matchup: the Bears offense ranks 7th in points per game; the Saints defense ranks 27th in points allowed.
Other side of the ball: the Saints offense ranks 15th in scoring, against a Bears defense that ranks 9th in points allowed.
Quarterbacks this season: Caleb Williams is 134 of 195 for 1,546 yards, 8 TDs and 5 INTs; Tyler Shough is 204 of 308 for 1,986 yards, 14 TDs and 6 INTs.

Bears injuries

2 out2 questionable5 injured reserve

Kyle MonangaiRB
Out
toe
Malik Muhammad IICB
Out
toe
Luther Burden IIIWR
QuestionableStarter · WR1
concussion
Tyrique Stevenson Sr.CB
QuestionableStarter · RCB
hand
Dayo OdeyingboDE
IRTracked contractTeam reporting
quadriceps

See all 9 on the injury report

Saints injuries

1 doubtful7 questionable1 injured reserve

Erik McCoyC
Doubtful
biceps
David EdwardsG
QuestionableStarter · LG
knee
Kelvin Banks Jr.OT
QuestionableStarter · LT
ankle
Martin Emerson Jr.CB
QuestionableStarter · RCB
shin
Taliese FuagaOT
QuestionableStarter · RT
knee

4 more

Christen MillerDT
Questionable
knee
CJ DonaldsonRB
Questionable
shoulder
Quincy RileyCB
Questionable
knee
Travis Etienne Jr.RB
IR
left hamstring

Season leaders

CHI Bears

Passing YardsCaleb Williams134/195, 1,546 YDS, 8 TD, 5 INT
Rushing YardsD'Andre Swift155 CAR, 576 YDS, 10 TD
Receiving YardsLuther Burden III49 REC, 644 YDS, 4 TD
SacksAustin Booker5

NO Saints

Passing YardsTyler Shough204/308, 1,986 YDS, 14 TD, 6 INT
Rushing YardsTyler Shough34 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving YardsChris Olave56 REC, 734 YDS, 2 TD
SacksChase Young8

Who's favored

ESPN win chance79%Bears

LineCHI -9.5Total 48.5

Both ESPN's predictor and the line lean Bears.

We don't make our own pick. These are ESPN's and the sportsbook's published numbers.

What is the win chance?

ESPN's matchup predictor, built on its Football Power Index. It simulates the game many times, and the percentage is how often each team wins. It is ESPN's number, not ours.

How do I read the line?

The point spread from a sportsbook. "GB -3" means the Packers are expected to win by about 3 points. The total (over/under) is the expected combined score of both teams.

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Data note: scores, schedules, standings, injuries, lines, and ESPN's predictor come from ESPN's public APIs, as of Nov 13, 2026, 10:46 a.m. CT. Injury designations tagged as team reporting are cited supplements where ESPN's weekly report is missing or behind. Deadline and roster notes in previews and 60-second reads come from official announcements and cited reporting. Other written text is generated from the ESPN data and adds no numbers of its own.