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New York Giants

5-3-11st EastNo. 3 seedL1 streak
Nextvs JaguarsSun, Nov 22 · 3:25 p.m. CT · JAX -622.1%win chance

The Fan GM model

70%playoff chances
69%Win the East
<1%No. 1 seed

The Giants make the playoffs in 70% of 10,000 simulated seasons.

Currently the No. 3 seed in the NFC. This is The Fan GM's model, not an official league figure and not another site's odds.

How does The Fan GM playoff model work?

Each team is rated by its point differential per game so far this season. A remaining game’s home-win probability comes from a normal curve around that rating gap, plus 2.5 points for home field (typical NFL margin spread of 13.5 points). We play out the rest of the league schedule 10,000 times and apply NFL-style tiebreakers to see how often each team makes the playoffs, wins its division, or earns the No. 1 seed. Simulated games always produce a winner (no regular-season ties). Tiebreakers used are head-to-head, division record, common games, conference record, strength of victory, strength of schedule, and point differential; leftover ties use a fixed team order, not coin flips or net touchdowns.

What if they win or lose vs the Jaguars

A win over the Jaguars would move them to 85%; a loss, to 65%.

Playoff path and standings

The 60-second read · Fri, Nov 13

Giants are 5-3-1 with the Jaguars up next

The Giants are 5-3-1 and have won 2 of their last 5. They are on a 1-game losing streak. That has them first in the NFC East, and ESPN's standings list them as the No. 3 seed in the NFC right now, which would mean a division title.

The Giants lost to Washington 24-21 on Thursday night, their first division loss, but they still lead the NFC East at 5-3-1. Next up: Jacksonville at home on Nov 22, flexed to 4:25 p.m. ET.

Keep reading · Past reads

Last game · Week 10L 21-24vs Commanders293 J.J. McCarthy passing yardsRecap →Playoff chances70%Division 69% · No. 1 seed <1%No. 3 seed · The Fan GM modelFull odds →Flagship contract2.1xBrian Burns: Restructured twice, and the cap hit doubles in 2027backload scoreAll 9 deals →Injuries7 out/doubtfulPaulson Adebo Out, CJ Okoye Out, J.C. Davis Out1 questionableInjury report →Where they rank5thin interceptions (defense)Weakest: 23rd in giveaways (int + lost fumbles)All stats →

NFC East

Division hub
  1. 1NYGGiantsDiv 2-1-1 · PF 203 · PA 196 · L15-3-1Leader3
  2. 2DALCowboysDiv 2-1 · PF 246 · PA 236 · W14-51.5 GB–
  3. 3WSHCommandersDiv 2-2-1 · PF 196 · PA 223 · W13-5-12 GB–
  4. 4PHIEaglesDiv 1-3 · PF 148 · PA 221 · L72-73.5 GB–

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Data note: scores, schedules, standings, injuries, lines, and ESPN's predictor come from ESPN's public APIs, as of Nov 13, 2026, 10:25 a.m. CT. Deadline and roster notes in previews and 60-second reads come from official announcements and cited reporting. Other written text is generated from the ESPN data and adds no numbers of its own.