The Fan GM model
The Rams make the playoffs in 35% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Currently outside the NFC top 7. This is The Fan GM's model, not an official league figure and not another site's odds.
How does The Fan GM playoff model work?
Each team is rated by its point differential per game so far this season. A remaining game’s home-win probability comes from a normal curve around that rating gap, plus 2.5 points for home field (typical NFL margin spread of 13.5 points). We play out the rest of the league schedule 10,000 times and apply NFL-style tiebreakers to see how often each team makes the playoffs, wins its division, or earns the No. 1 seed. Simulated games always produce a winner (no regular-season ties). Tiebreakers used are head-to-head, division record, common games, conference record, strength of victory, strength of schedule, and point differential; leftover ties use a fixed team order, not coin flips or net touchdowns.
What if they win or lose at the Cardinals
A win over the Cardinals would move them to 40%; a loss, to 19%.
The 60-second read · Fri, Nov 13
Rams visit the Cardinals Sunday, and it is a rematch
The Rams are 5-4 and have won 3 of their last 5. They are on a 3-game winning streak. That has them 3rd in the NFC West, 2.5 games behind the 49ers, and ESPN's standings list them as the No. 9 seed in the NFC right now, a wild-card spot.
The Rams placed wide receiver Puka Nacua on injured reserve Nov. 12 with a knee injury and turf toe; he will miss at least four games (Los Angeles Times).
NFC West
Division hubLatest news
- Rams put WR Puka Nacua on IR with knee, toe injuriesESPN · Nov 12, 7:17 p.m. CT
- Emmanuel Forbes Jr. proving capable of bigger role in Rams secondary if needed after performance against former teamRams official site · Nov 12, 7:10 p.m. CT
- 'Really encouraged by his development': Rams coaches and teammates looking forward to CJ Daniels Jr. getting more opportunities in Week 10Rams official site · Nov 12, 4:27 p.m. CT
- Myles Garrett details range of emotions when he was sidelined with injuryESPN · Nov 12, 2:42 p.m. CT
Updated Nov 13, 9:03 a.m. CT. Headlines link to the original source.
The Fan GM Weekly
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Data note: scores, schedules, standings, injuries, lines, and ESPN's predictor come from ESPN's public APIs, as of Nov 13, 2026, 10:25 a.m. CT. Injury designations tagged as team reporting are cited supplements where ESPN's weekly report is missing or behind. Deadline and roster notes in previews and 60-second reads come from official announcements and cited reporting. Other written text is generated from the ESPN data and adds no numbers of its own.