Eagles playoff picture
The Eagles make the playoffs in less than 1% of 10,000 simulated seasons. Current seed, standings, and a what-if for the 8 games left.
The Fan GM model
The Eagles make the playoffs in less than 1% of 10,000 simulated seasons.
Currently outside the NFC top 7. This is The Fan GM's model, not an official league figure and not another site's odds.
How does The Fan GM playoff model work?
Each team is rated by its point differential per game so far this season. A remaining game’s home-win probability comes from a normal curve around that rating gap, plus 2.5 points for home field (typical NFL margin spread of 13.5 points). We play out the rest of the league schedule 10,000 times and apply NFL-style tiebreakers to see how often each team makes the playoffs, wins its division, or earns the No. 1 seed. Simulated games always produce a winner (no regular-season ties). Tiebreakers used are head-to-head, division record, common games, conference record, strength of victory, strength of schedule, and point differential; leftover ties use a fixed team order, not coin flips or net touchdowns.
What if they win or lose vs the Steelers
A win over the Steelers would move them to <1%; a loss, to <1%.
Outside the field, 4 games behind the No. 7 seed (the Packers, 6-3).
4th in the NFC East, 3.5 games behind the Giants.
NFC playoff picture
- 1SF49ersDivision leader7-1
- 2CHIBearsDivision leader7-2
- 3NYGGiantsDivision leader5-3-1
- 4CARPanthersDivision leader3-5
- 5DETLionsWild card6-2
- 6MINVikingsWild card6-2
- 7GBPackersWild card6-3
- Cut line
- 8SEASeahawksChasing5-4
- 9LARRamsChasing5-4
- 10DALCowboysChasing4-5
How do playoff seeds work?
Seven teams in each conference make the playoffs. The four division winners are seeds 1 to 4, ranked by record. The three best other teams are seeds 5 to 7. Only the No. 1 seed gets a first-round bye.
NFC East standings
- 1NYGGiantsDiv 2-1-1 · PF 203 · PA 196 · L15-3-1Leader3
- 2DALCowboysDiv 2-1 · PF 246 · PA 236 · W14-51.5 GB–
- 3WSHCommandersDiv 2-2-1 · PF 196 · PA 223 · W13-5-12 GB–
- 4PHIEaglesDiv 1-3 · PF 148 · PA 221 · L72-73.5 GB–
What does "games behind" mean?
How many wins one team needs to make up on another, counting each win by the trailing team or loss by the leading team as half a game. It ignores tiebreakers.
Pick the rest of the season
Tap W or L for each game. It adds up your picks into a final record. It does not simulate other teams, so it is a what-if, not a probability.
Data note: scores, schedules, standings, injuries, lines, and ESPN's predictor come from ESPN's public APIs, as of Nov 13, 2026, 10:25 a.m. CT. Deadline and roster notes in previews and 60-second reads come from official announcements and cited reporting. Other written text is generated from the ESPN data and adds no numbers of its own.